Fixture 32 · MD2 · 2026-06-20 03:00

Türkiye vs Paraguay

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.54 combined

Actual goals 1 Türkiye 0-1 Paraguay

Opportunity score 40.79 combined

Türkiye 23.11 team score

Paraguay 17.68 team score

Status Complete Türkiye 0-1 Paraguay

Türkiye

Score 23.11 weighted

xG 1.50

CS 36.6%

xGC 1.04

SOT 4.81

YC 1.89

Paraguay

Score 17.68 weighted

xG 1.04

CS 23.8%

xGC 1.50

SOT 3.33

YC 2.39

Türkiye expected goals

0 Actual22.3%

1 33.5%

2 25.1%

3 12.6%

4 4.7%

5 1.4%

6+ 0.4%

Paraguay expected goals

0 35.3%

1 Actual36.8%

2 19.1%

3 6.6%

4 1.7%

5 0.4%

6+ 0.1%

Türkiye goals conceded

0 35.3%

1 36.8%

2 19.1%

3 6.6%

4 1.7%

5 0.4%

6+ 0.1%

Paraguay goals conceded

0 22.3%

1 33.5%

2 25.1%

3 12.6%

4 4.7%

5 1.4%

6+ 0.4%

Türkiye scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.50	77.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.35	74.1%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.37	36.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.04	64.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.29	89.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	4.81	99.2%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	12.85	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	8.25	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.89	84.9%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.6%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.16	15.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.11	10.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	4.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.5%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Paraguay scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.04	64.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.94	60.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.24	23.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.50	77.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.31	96.3%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.33	96.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	18.53	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.72	99.7%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	2.39	91.0%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	6.2%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.11	10.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.16	15.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	2.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	5.9%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.4%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box