Fixture 31 · MD2 · 2026-06-20 00:30

Brazil vs Haiti

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.77 combined

Actual goals 3 Brazil 3-0 Haiti

Opportunity score 56.67 combined

Brazil 42.92 team score

Haiti 13.75 team score

Status Complete Brazil 3-0 Haiti

Brazil

Score 42.92 weighted

xG 3.14

CS 55.9%

xGC 0.63

SOT 8.14

YC 1.07

Haiti

Score 13.75 weighted

xG 0.63

CS 5.7%

xGC 3.14

SOT 1.61

YC 1.78

Brazil expected goals

0 4.0%

1 13.0%

2 20.8%

3 Actual22.2%

4 17.9%

5 11.5%

6+ 10.7%

Haiti expected goals

0 Actual53.3%

1 33.6%

2 10.6%

3 2.2%

4 0.3%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Brazil goals conceded

0 53.3%

1 33.6%

2 10.6%

3 2.2%

4 0.3%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Haiti goals conceded

0 4.0%

1 13.0%

2 20.8%

3 22.2%

4 17.9%

5 11.5%

6+ 10.7%

Brazil scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	3.14	96.0%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	2.85	94.4%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.56	55.9%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.63	46.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	0.98	62.6%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	8.14	100.0%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	5.46	99.6%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	17.11	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.07	65.7%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.7%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.23	20.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.05	4.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	0.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.02	2.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Haiti scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.63	46.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.57	43.3%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.06	5.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	3.14	96.0%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.99	99.3%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.61	80.1%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	27.66	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.46	96.9%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.78	83.1%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.05	4.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.23	20.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.11	10.5%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box