Fixture 30 · MD2 · 2026-06-19 22:00

Scotland vs Morocco

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.43 combined

Actual goals 1 Scotland 0-1 Morocco

Opportunity score 40.28 combined

Scotland 15.58 team score

Morocco 24.70 team score

Status Complete Scotland 0-1 Morocco

Scotland

Score 15.58 weighted

xG 0.81

CS 21.9%

xGC 1.62

SOT 2.55

YC 2.04

Morocco

Score 24.70 weighted

xG 1.62

CS 47.4%

xGC 0.81

SOT 5.10

YC 1.59

Scotland expected goals

0 Actual44.5%

1 36.0%

2 14.6%

3 3.9%

4 0.8%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Morocco expected goals

0 19.8%

1 Actual32.1%

2 26.0%

3 14.0%

4 5.7%

5 1.8%

6+ 0.6%

Scotland goals conceded

0 19.8%

1 32.1%

2 26.0%

3 14.0%

4 5.7%

5 1.8%

6+ 0.6%

Morocco goals conceded

0 44.5%

1 36.0%

2 14.6%

3 3.9%

4 0.8%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Scotland scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.81	55.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.73	51.8%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.22	21.9%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.62	80.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.48	96.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.55	92.2%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	20.90	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.45	98.8%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	2.04	87.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.8%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.09	8.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.19	17.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.08	7.8%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Morocco scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.62	80.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.46	76.7%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.47	47.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.81	55.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.74	82.4%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.10	99.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	10.45	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	8.91	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.59	79.6%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.3%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.19	17.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.09	8.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	4.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box