Fixture 29 · MD2 · 2026-06-19 19:00

USA vs Australia

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.77 combined

Actual goals 2 USA 2-0 Australia

Opportunity score 44.18 combined

USA 27.28 team score

Australia 16.89 team score

Status Complete USA 2-0 Australia

USA

Score 27.28 weighted

xG 1.82

CS 41.8%

xGC 0.95

SOT 5.42

YC 1.12

Australia

Score 16.89 weighted

xG 0.95

CS 17.9%

xGC 1.82

SOT 2.83

YC 1.87

USA expected goals

0 16.2%

1 29.5%

2 Actual26.8%

3 16.3%

4 7.4%

5 2.7%

6+ 1.1%

Australia expected goals

0 Actual38.7%

1 36.7%

2 17.5%

3 5.5%

4 1.3%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

USA goals conceded

0 38.7%

1 36.7%

2 17.5%

3 5.5%

4 1.3%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Australia goals conceded

0 16.2%

1 29.5%

2 26.8%

3 16.3%

4 7.4%

5 2.7%

6+ 1.1%

USA scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.82	83.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.64	80.6%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.42	41.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.95	61.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.88	84.7%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.42	99.6%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	10.45	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	10.01	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.12	67.4%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.7%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.18	16.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.10	9.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.04	4.1%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Australia scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.95	61.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.85	57.5%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.18	17.9%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.82	83.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.60	97.3%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.83	94.1%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	20.02	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.23	99.5%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.87	84.6%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.6%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.10	9.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.18	16.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.08	7.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box