Fixture 27 · MD2 · 2026-06-18 22:00

Canada vs Qatar

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.97 combined

Actual goals 6 Canada 6-0 Qatar

Opportunity score 47.32 combined

Canada 32.49 team score

Qatar 14.83 team score

Status Complete Canada 6-0 Qatar

Canada

Score 32.49 weighted

xG 2.27

CS 52.6%

xGC 0.70

SOT 6.66

YC 1.43

Qatar

Score 14.83 weighted

xG 0.70

CS 12.6%

xGC 2.27

SOT 2.05

YC 1.85

Canada expected goals

0 10.2%

1 23.3%

2 26.6%

3 20.2%

4 11.5%

5 5.3%

6+ Actual2.9%

Qatar expected goals

0 Actual49.7%

1 34.8%

2 12.2%

3 2.8%

4 0.5%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Canada goals conceded

0 49.7%

1 34.8%

2 12.2%

3 2.8%

4 0.5%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Qatar goals conceded

0 10.2%

1 23.3%

2 26.6%

3 20.2%

4 11.5%

5 5.3%

6+ 2.9%

Canada scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.27	89.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	2.05	87.2%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.53	52.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.70	50.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.35	74.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.66	99.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	7.66	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	12.52	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.43	76.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.1%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.21	19.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.07	6.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.02	2.5%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.5%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Qatar scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.70	50.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.63	46.7%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.13	12.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	2.27	89.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.39	98.8%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.05	87.1%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	24.91	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.85	97.9%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.85	84.3%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.6%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.07	6.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.21	19.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.08	7.8%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.4%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box