Fixture 26 · MD2 · 2026-06-18 19:00

Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.74 combined

Actual goals 5 Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina

Opportunity score 44.36 combined

Switzerland 28.06 team score

Bosnia & Herzegovina 16.31 team score

Status Complete Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina

Switzerland

Score 28.06 weighted

xG 1.88

CS 45.9%

xGC 0.86

SOT 5.74

YC 1.22

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Score 16.31 weighted

xG 0.86

CS 17.4%

xGC 1.88

SOT 2.63

YC 1.77

Switzerland expected goals

0 15.3%

1 28.7%

2 27.0%

3 16.9%

4 Actual7.9%

5 3.0%

6+ 1.3%

Bosnia & Herzegovina expected goals

0 42.3%

1 Actual36.4%

2 15.6%

3 4.5%

4 1.0%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Switzerland goals conceded

0 42.3%

1 36.4%

2 15.6%

3 4.5%

4 1.0%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Bosnia & Herzegovina goals conceded

0 15.3%

1 28.7%

2 27.0%

3 16.9%

4 7.9%

5 3.0%

6+ 1.3%

Switzerland scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.88	84.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.69	81.6%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.46	45.9%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.86	57.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.77	82.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.74	99.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	9.76	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	10.34	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.22	70.5%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.8%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.19	17.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.09	8.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.5%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Bosnia & Herzegovina scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.86	57.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.77	53.9%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.17	17.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.88	84.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.86	97.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.63	92.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	21.32	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.73	99.1%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.77	83.0%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.09	8.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.19	17.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.2%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	6.9%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box