Fixture 21 · MD1 · 2026-06-17 17:00

Portugal vs Congo DR

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.89 combined

Actual goals 2 Portugal 1-1 Congo DR

Opportunity score 46.07 combined

Portugal 32.76 team score

Congo DR 13.31 team score

Status Complete Portugal 1-1 Congo DR

Portugal

Score 32.76 weighted

xG 2.25

CS 55.6%

xGC 0.64

SOT 7.21

YC 0.90

Congo DR

Score 13.31 weighted

xG 0.64

CS 12.1%

xGC 2.25

SOT 2.05

YC 1.70

Portugal expected goals

0 10.4%

1 Actual23.6%

2 26.6%

3 20.1%

4 11.3%

5 5.1%

6+ 2.8%

Congo DR expected goals

0 52.7%

1 Actual33.7%

2 10.8%

3 2.3%

4 0.4%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Portugal goals conceded

0 52.7%

1 33.7%

2 10.8%

3 2.3%

4 0.4%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Congo DR goals conceded

0 10.4%

1 23.6%

2 26.6%

3 20.1%

4 11.3%

5 5.1%

6+ 2.8%

Portugal scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.25	89.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	2.03	86.9%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.56	55.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.64	47.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.41	75.6%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	7.21	99.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	6.08	99.8%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	12.41	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	0.90	59.3%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.5%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.22	19.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.06	6.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.0%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.02	2.3%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.6%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Congo DR scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.64	47.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.58	43.8%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.12	12.1%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	2.25	89.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.96	99.3%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.05	87.1%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	21.46	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.52	97.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.70	81.7%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.4%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.06	6.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.22	19.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.08	8.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.3%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box