Fixture 20 · MD1 · 2026-06-17 04:00

Austria vs Jordan

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.81 combined

Actual goals 4 Austria 3-1 Jordan

Opportunity score 47.08 combined

Austria 30.87 team score

Jordan 16.21 team score

Status Complete Austria 3-1 Jordan

Austria

Score 30.87 weighted

xG 2.08

CS 50.1%

xGC 0.73

SOT 6.81

YC 1.35

Jordan

Score 16.21 weighted

xG 0.73

CS 14.2%

xGC 2.08

SOT 2.38

YC 1.59

Austria expected goals

0 12.4%

1 25.9%

2 27.0%

3 Actual18.8%

4 9.8%

5 4.1%

6+ 2.0%

Jordan expected goals

0 48.2%

1 Actual35.2%

2 12.8%

3 3.1%

4 0.6%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Austria goals conceded

0 48.2%

1 35.2%

2 12.8%

3 3.1%

4 0.6%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Jordan goals conceded

0 12.4%

1 25.9%

2 27.0%

3 18.8%

4 9.8%

5 4.1%

6+ 2.0%

Austria scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.08	87.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.88	84.8%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.50	50.1%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.73	51.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.65	80.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.81	99.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	8.96	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	11.49	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.35	74.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.21	18.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.07	7.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.2%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	2.8%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.3%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Jordan scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.73	51.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.66	48.2%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.14	14.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	2.08	87.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.72	99.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.38	90.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	25.61	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.01	98.2%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.59	79.6%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.3%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.07	7.0%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.21	18.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.5%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.08	7.7%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.5%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box