Fixture 19 · MD1 · 2026-06-17 01:00

Argentina vs Algeria

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.67 combined

Actual goals 3 Argentina 3-0 Algeria

Opportunity score 42.88 combined

Argentina 28.10 team score

Algeria 14.78 team score

Status Complete Argentina 3-0 Algeria

Argentina

Score 28.10 weighted

xG 1.91

CS 48.6%

xGC 0.76

SOT 5.85

YC 1.43

Algeria

Score 14.78 weighted

xG 0.76

CS 17.1%

xGC 1.91

SOT 2.33

YC 2.25

Argentina expected goals

0 14.8%

1 28.3%

2 27.0%

3 Actual17.2%

4 8.2%

5 3.1%

6+ 1.4%

Algeria expected goals

0 Actual46.8%

1 35.5%

2 13.5%

3 3.4%

4 0.7%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Argentina goals conceded

0 46.8%

1 35.5%

2 13.5%

3 3.4%

4 0.7%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Algeria goals conceded

0 14.8%

1 28.3%

2 27.0%

3 17.2%

4 8.2%

5 3.1%

6+ 1.4%

Argentina scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.91	85.2%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.72	82.1%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.49	48.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.76	53.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.57	79.2%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.85	99.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	8.84	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	10.50	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.43	76.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.1%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.20	18.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.08	7.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.3%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	2.9%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.2%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Algeria scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.76	53.2%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.68	49.5%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.17	17.1%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.91	85.2%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.94	98.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.33	90.3%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	22.22	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.18	98.5%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	2.25	89.6%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	6.0%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.08	7.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.20	18.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.3%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	7.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box