Fixture 18 · MD1 · 2026-06-16 22:00

Iraq vs Norway

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.10 combined

Actual goals 5 Iraq 1-4 Norway

Opportunity score 49.82 combined

Iraq 14.28 team score

Norway 35.54 team score

Status Complete Iraq 1-4 Norway

Iraq

Score 14.28 weighted

xG 0.62

CS 9.6%

xGC 2.48

SOT 1.79

YC 1.76

Norway

Score 35.54 weighted

xG 2.48

CS 57.3%

xGC 0.62

SOT 7.21

YC 1.05

Iraq expected goals

0 53.8%

1 Actual33.4%

2 10.3%

3 2.1%

4 0.3%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Norway expected goals

0 8.2%

1 20.5%

2 25.7%

3 21.4%

4 Actual13.4%

5 6.7%

6+ 4.2%

Iraq goals conceded

0 8.2%

1 20.5%

2 25.7%

3 21.4%

4 13.4%

5 6.7%

6+ 4.2%

Norway goals conceded

0 53.8%

1 33.4%

2 10.3%

3 2.1%

4 0.3%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Iraq scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.62	46.2%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.56	42.8%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.10	9.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	2.48	91.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.72	99.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.79	83.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	26.94	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.41	96.7%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.76	82.8%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.06	5.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.22	20.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.7%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.09	9.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.2%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Norway scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.48	91.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	2.24	89.5%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.57	57.3%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.62	46.2%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.17	69.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	7.21	99.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	6.71	99.9%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	13.70	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.05	65.0%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.6%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.22	20.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.06	5.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	0.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.02	2.3%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box