Fixture 16 · MD1 · 2026-06-16 01:00

Iran vs New Zealand

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.34 combined

Actual goals 4 Iran 2-2 New Zealand

Opportunity score 40.10 combined

Iran 23.85 team score

New Zealand 16.25 team score

Status Complete Iran 2-2 New Zealand

Iran

Score 23.85 weighted

xG 1.50

CS 45.9%

xGC 0.84

SOT 5.38

YC 1.35

New Zealand

Score 16.25 weighted

xG 0.84

CS 24.0%

xGC 1.50

SOT 3.02

YC 1.78

Iran expected goals

0 22.3%

1 33.5%

2 Actual25.1%

3 12.6%

4 4.7%

5 1.4%

6+ 0.4%

New Zealand expected goals

0 43.2%

1 36.3%

2 Actual15.2%

3 4.3%

4 0.9%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Iran goals conceded

0 43.2%

1 36.3%

2 15.2%

3 4.3%

4 0.9%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

New Zealand goals conceded

0 22.3%

1 33.5%

2 25.1%

3 12.6%

4 4.7%

5 1.4%

6+ 0.4%

Iran scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.50	77.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.35	74.1%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.46	45.9%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.84	56.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.18	88.6%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.38	99.5%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	10.75	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	8.25	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.35	74.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.0%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.18	16.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.10	9.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.7%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.3%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.8%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

New Zealand scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.84	56.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.76	53.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.24	24.0%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.50	77.7%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.88	97.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	3.02	95.1%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	19.20	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.62	99.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.78	83.1%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.10	9.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.18	16.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.0%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	5.8%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.1%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box