Fixture 15 · MD1 · 2026-06-15 22:00

Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.55 combined

Actual goals 2 Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay

Opportunity score 42.57 combined

Saudi Arabia 14.90 team score

Uruguay 27.67 team score

Status Complete Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay

Saudi Arabia

Score 14.90 weighted

xG 0.67

CS 17.1%

xGC 1.88

SOT 2.06

YC 2.08

Uruguay

Score 27.67 weighted

xG 1.88

CS 51.8%

xGC 0.67

SOT 5.77

YC 1.75

Saudi Arabia expected goals

0 51.2%

1 Actual34.3%

2 11.5%

3 2.6%

4 0.4%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Uruguay expected goals

0 15.3%

1 Actual28.7%

2 27.0%

3 16.9%

4 7.9%

5 3.0%

6+ 1.3%

Saudi Arabia goals conceded

0 15.3%

1 28.7%

2 27.0%

3 16.9%

4 7.9%

5 3.0%

6+ 1.3%

Uruguay goals conceded

0 51.2%

1 34.3%

2 11.5%

3 2.6%

4 0.4%

5 0.1%

6+ 0.0%

Saudi Arabia scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.67	48.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.60	45.3%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.17	17.1%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.88	84.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.89	98.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.06	87.2%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	25.54	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.68	97.5%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	2.08	87.6%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.8%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.07	7.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.21	18.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.4%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	6.9%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.6%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Uruguay scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.88	84.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.69	81.6%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.52	51.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.67	48.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.39	75.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.77	99.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	9.12	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	10.34	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.75	82.6%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.4%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.21	18.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.07	7.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.2%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	2.5%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.3%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box