Fixture 14 · MD1 · 2026-06-15 19:00

Belgium vs Egypt

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.70 combined

Actual goals 2 Belgium 1-1 Egypt

Opportunity score 44.37 combined

Belgium 27.90 team score

Egypt 16.47 team score

Status Complete Belgium 1-1 Egypt

Belgium

Score 27.90 weighted

xG 1.85

CS 44.3%

xGC 0.85

SOT 6.21

YC 1.43

Egypt

Score 16.47 weighted

xG 0.85

CS 17.8%

xGC 1.85

SOT 2.86

YC 2.14

Belgium expected goals

0 15.7%

1 Actual29.1%

2 26.9%

3 16.6%

4 7.7%

5 2.8%

6+ 1.2%

Egypt expected goals

0 42.7%

1 Actual36.3%

2 15.4%

3 4.4%

4 0.9%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Belgium goals conceded

0 42.7%

1 36.3%

2 15.4%

3 4.4%

4 0.9%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Egypt goals conceded

0 15.7%

1 29.1%

2 26.9%

3 16.6%

4 7.7%

5 2.8%

6+ 1.2%

Belgium scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.85	84.3%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.66	81.1%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.44	44.3%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.85	57.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	2.01	86.6%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.21	99.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	10.25	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	10.17	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.43	76.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.1%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.19	17.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.09	8.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	1.5%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.3%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Egypt scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.85	57.3%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.76	53.5%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.18	17.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.85	84.3%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.36	98.7%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.86	94.3%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	22.31	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.68	99.1%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	2.14	88.4%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.9%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.09	8.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.19	17.5%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.2%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	7.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box