Fixture 9 · MD1 · 2026-06-14 17:00

Germany vs Curaçao

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 4.32 combined

Actual goals 8 Germany 7-1 Curaçao

Opportunity score 61.94 combined

Germany 50.32 team score

Curaçao 11.62 team score

Status Complete Germany 7-1 Curaçao

Germany

Score 50.32 weighted

xG 3.76

CS 66.3%

xGC 0.56

SOT 9.34

YC 0.78

Curaçao

Score 11.62 weighted

xG 0.56

CS 4.4%

xGC 3.76

SOT 1.36

YC 1.87

Germany expected goals

0 1.9%

1 7.7%

2 15.1%

3 19.8%

4 19.5%

5 15.4%

6+ Actual20.6%

Curaçao expected goals

0 57.1%

1 Actual32.0%

2 9.0%

3 1.7%

4 0.2%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Germany goals conceded

0 57.1%

1 32.0%

2 9.0%

3 1.7%

4 0.2%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Curaçao goals conceded

0 1.9%

1 7.7%

2 15.1%

3 19.8%

4 19.5%

5 15.4%

6+ 20.6%

Germany scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	3.76	98.1%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	3.43	97.1%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.66	66.3%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.56	42.9%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	0.80	55.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	9.34	100.0%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	3.70	97.5%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	19.48	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	0.78	54.2%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.04	4.3%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.24	21.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.03	3.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	0.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.02	1.9%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	5.1%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Curaçao scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.56	42.9%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.50	39.6%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.04	4.4%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	3.76	98.1%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	5.59	99.6%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.36	74.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	25.97	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.08	95.4%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.87	84.6%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.6%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.03	3.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.24	21.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	4.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.14	12.8%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	0.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box