Fixture 8 · MD1 · 2026-06-14 04:00

Australia vs Türkiye

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.59 combined

Actual goals 2 Australia 2-0 Türkiye

Opportunity score 41.60 combined

Australia 16.25 team score

Türkiye 25.35 team score

Status Complete Australia 2-0 Türkiye

Australia

Score 16.25 weighted

xG 0.89

CS 19.8%

xGC 1.70

SOT 2.85

YC 2.00

Türkiye

Score 25.35 weighted

xG 1.70

CS 42.7%

xGC 0.89

SOT 5.43

YC 1.76

Australia expected goals

0 41.1%

1 36.5%

2 Actual16.3%

3 4.8%

4 1.1%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Türkiye expected goals

0 Actual18.3%

1 31.1%

2 26.4%

3 15.0%

4 6.4%

5 2.2%

6+ 0.8%

Australia goals conceded

0 18.3%

1 31.1%

2 26.4%

3 15.0%

4 6.4%

5 2.2%

6+ 0.8%

Türkiye goals conceded

0 41.1%

1 36.5%

2 16.3%

3 4.8%

4 1.1%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Australia scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.89	58.9%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.80	55.1%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.20	19.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	1.70	81.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.73	97.6%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.85	94.2%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	19.72	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.89	99.3%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	2.00	86.6%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.7%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.10	9.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.18	16.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	6.0%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Türkiye scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.70	81.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.53	78.3%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.43	42.7%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.89	58.9%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.96	85.8%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.43	99.6%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	10.32	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	9.35	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.76	82.8%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.18	16.8%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.10	9.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box