Fixture 7 · MD1 · 2026-06-14 01:00

Haiti vs Scotland

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.09 combined

Actual goals 1 Haiti 0-1 Scotland

Opportunity score 46.15 combined

Haiti 16.39 team score

Scotland 29.76 team score

Status Complete Haiti 0-1 Scotland

Haiti

Score 16.39 weighted

xG 0.99

CS 14.8%

xGC 2.10

SOT 2.83

YC 2.33

Scotland

Score 29.76 weighted

xG 2.10

CS 38.8%

xGC 0.99

SOT 6.02

YC 1.62

Haiti expected goals

0 Actual37.2%

1 36.8%

2 18.2%

3 6.0%

4 1.5%

5 0.3%

6+ 0.1%

Scotland expected goals

0 12.1%

1 Actual25.6%

2 27.0%

3 19.0%

4 10.0%

5 4.2%

6+ 2.1%

Haiti goals conceded

0 12.1%

1 25.6%

2 27.0%

3 19.0%

4 10.0%

5 4.2%

6+ 2.1%

Scotland goals conceded

0 37.2%

1 36.8%

2 18.2%

3 6.0%

4 1.5%

5 0.3%

6+ 0.1%

Haiti scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.99	62.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.89	59.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.15	14.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	2.10	87.9%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.91	98.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.83	94.1%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	19.41	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	5.44	99.6%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	2.33	90.4%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	6.1%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.09	8.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.19	17.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.2%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.07	6.6%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	1.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Scotland scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.10	87.9%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	1.89	85.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.39	38.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.99	62.8%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.84	84.1%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.02	99.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	9.11	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	11.60	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.62	80.2%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	5.3%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.19	17.4%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.09	8.6%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.5%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	4.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box