Fixture 6 · MD1 · 2026-06-13 22:00

Brazil vs Morocco

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.53 combined

Actual goals 2 Brazil 1-1 Morocco

Opportunity score 42.51 combined

Brazil 25.78 team score

Morocco 16.73 team score

Status Complete Brazil 1-1 Morocco

Brazil

Score 25.78 weighted

xG 1.69

CS 45.2%

xGC 0.84

SOT 5.57

YC 1.82

Morocco

Score 16.73 weighted

xG 0.84

CS 21.1%

xGC 1.69

SOT 2.77

YC 2.12

Brazil expected goals

0 18.5%

1 Actual31.2%

2 26.4%

3 14.8%

4 6.3%

5 2.1%

6+ 0.8%

Morocco expected goals

0 43.2%

1 Actual36.3%

2 15.2%

3 4.3%

4 0.9%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Brazil goals conceded

0 43.2%

1 36.3%

2 15.2%

3 4.3%

4 0.9%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Morocco goals conceded

0 18.5%

1 31.2%

2 26.4%

3 14.8%

4 6.3%

5 2.1%

6+ 0.8%

Brazil scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.69	81.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.52	78.2%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.45	45.2%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.84	56.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.93	85.5%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.57	99.6%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	11.44	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	9.29	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.82	83.8%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.5%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.19	17.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.09	8.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.6%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.9%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Morocco scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.84	56.8%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.76	53.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.21	21.1%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.69	81.5%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.88	98.0%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.77	93.7%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	23.00	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.62	99.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	2.12	88.1%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.9%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.09	8.9%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.19	17.1%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.1%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	6.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.0%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box