Fixture 5 · MD1 · 2026-06-13 19:00

Qatar vs Switzerland

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 3.06 combined

Actual goals 2 Qatar 1-1 Switzerland

Opportunity score 46.82 combined

Qatar 12.09 team score

Switzerland 34.73 team score

Status Complete Qatar 1-1 Switzerland

Qatar

Score 12.09 weighted

xG 0.59

CS 9.6%

xGC 2.47

SOT 1.65

YC 2.04

Switzerland

Score 34.73 weighted

xG 2.47

CS 57.5%

xGC 0.59

SOT 6.95

YC 1.18

Qatar expected goals

0 55.4%

1 Actual32.7%

2 9.6%

3 1.9%

4 0.3%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Switzerland expected goals

0 8.3%

1 Actual20.6%

2 25.7%

3 21.3%

4 13.3%

5 6.6%

6+ 4.1%

Qatar goals conceded

0 8.3%

1 20.6%

2 25.7%

3 21.3%

4 13.3%

5 6.6%

6+ 4.1%

Switzerland goals conceded

0 55.4%

1 32.7%

2 9.6%

3 1.9%

4 0.3%

5 0.0%

6+ 0.0%

Qatar scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.59	44.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	0.53	41.2%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.10	9.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	2.47	91.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	4.47	98.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	1.65	80.8%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	22.75	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	3.25	96.1%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	2.04	87.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.8%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.05	5.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.22	20.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.04	3.8%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.09	8.9%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.01	1.1%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Switzerland scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	2.47	91.7%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	2.23	89.4%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.57	57.5%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	0.59	44.6%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.06	65.4%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	6.95	99.9%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	5.39	99.5%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	13.64	100.0%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	1.18	69.3%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.05	4.8%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.22	20.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.05	5.2%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.01	0.9%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.02	2.2%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.05	4.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box