Fixture 3 · MD1 · 2026-06-12 19:00

Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

Event probabilities index

Expected goals 2.41 combined

Actual goals 2 Canada 1-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina

Opportunity score 40.04 combined

Canada 23.82 team score

Bosnia & Herzegovina 16.23 team score

Status Complete Canada 1-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina

Canada

Score 23.82 weighted

xG 1.53

CS 43.6%

xGC 0.88

SOT 5.00

YC 1.72

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Score 16.23 weighted

xG 0.88

CS 23.8%

xGC 1.53

SOT 2.87

YC 2.52

Canada expected goals

0 21.7%

1 Actual33.1%

2 25.3%

3 12.9%

4 4.9%

5 1.5%

6+ 0.5%

Bosnia & Herzegovina expected goals

0 41.5%

1 Actual36.5%

2 16.1%

3 4.7%

4 1.0%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Canada goals conceded

0 41.5%

1 36.5%

2 16.1%

3 4.7%

4 1.0%

5 0.2%

6+ 0.0%

Bosnia & Herzegovina goals conceded

0 21.7%

1 33.1%

2 25.3%

3 12.9%

4 4.9%

5 1.5%

6+ 0.5%

Canada scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	1.53	78.3%		Fitted	Total - Home
Assists Attack	1.38	74.8%		Derived	Total - Home
Clean sheet Defence	0.44	43.6%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Home
Goals conceded Defence	0.88	58.5%		Fitted	Total - Away
Goalkeeper saves Defence	1.99	86.4%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	5.00	99.3%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	11.92	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	8.41	100.0%		Derived	Total - Home
Yellow cards Risk	1.72	82.1%		Fitted	Home Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.06	5.4%		Derived	Home Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.18	16.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.10	9.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.02	1.7%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.03	3.4%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.04	3.7%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box

Bosnia & Herzegovina scoring opportunities

Opportunity	Expected freq.	P >= 1	Distribution	Method	Source
Expected goals Attack	0.88	58.5%		Fitted	Total - Away
Assists Attack	0.79	54.7%		Derived	Total - Away
Clean sheet Defence	0.24	23.8%		Direct	Clean Sheet - Away
Goals conceded Defence	1.53	78.3%		Fitted	Total - Home
Goalkeeper saves Defence	3.47	96.9%		Derived	Total ShotOnGoal / opponent goal total
Shots on target Attack	2.87	94.4%		Fitted	Total ShotOnGoal
Tackles Defence	20.73	100.0%		Fitted	Total Tackles
Chances created Attack	4.84	99.2%		Derived	Total - Away
Yellow cards Risk	2.52	92.1%		Fitted	Away Team Yellow Cards
Red cards Risk	0.07	6.3%		Derived	Away Team Yellow Cards
Penalties won Attack	0.10	9.7%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties conceded Risk	0.18	16.3%		Derived	To Score A Penalty / To Miss A Penalty
Penalties saved Defence	0.03	3.0%		Derived	To Miss A Penalty
Own goals Risk	0.06	5.8%		Derived	Own Goal
Free-kick goals Attack	0.02	2.2%		Prior	Goal Method Outside the Box