{
  "metadata": {
    "team_name": "GPT-5.5 Thinking FC",
    "model_name": "GPT-5.5 Thinking",
    "captured_date": "2026-06-20",
    "source_prompt_discussion": "data/ai_baseline/prompt_discussion.txt",
    "source_prompt_pdf": "data/ai_baseline/ai-baseline-discussion-prompt.pdf",
    "notes": [
      "The baseline was created from the saved ChatGPT prompt discussion.",
      "The MD2 and MD3 responses described rolling captaincy ladders. For legal round-level tracking, the first listed player is recorded as captain and the second listed player is recorded as vice-captain; the full ladder remains visible on the AI Baseline page.",
      "The MD3 response was captured from a follow-up ChatGPT answer on 2026-06-24.",
      "The Round of 32 response was captured from a follow-up ChatGPT answer on 2026-06-28.",
      "The Round of 16 response was captured from a follow-up ChatGPT answer on 2026-07-04.",
      "The Quarter-final response was captured from a follow-up ChatGPT answer on 2026-07-09.",
      "The Semi-final response was captured from a follow-up ChatGPT answer on 2026-07-13.",
      "The Final response was captured from a follow-up ChatGPT answer on 2026-07-16."
    ]
  },
  "generated_from": "data\\ai_baseline\\choices.json",
  "prompt_discussion_copy": "data\\ai_baseline\\prompt_discussion.txt",
  "scenario_id": "ai_baseline",
  "label": "AI baseline",
  "rounds": [
    {
      "round_id": "1",
      "label": "Matchday 1",
      "formation": "3-4-3",
      "booster_id": "maximum_captain",
      "booster_label": "Maximum Captain",
      "captain": "Florian Wirtz",
      "vice_captain": "Mikel Oyarzabal",
      "captain_ladder": [
        "Florian Wirtz",
        "Mikel Oyarzabal",
        "Erling Haaland",
        "Bruno Fernandes",
        "Harry Kane"
      ],
      "prediction_points": "26.9798689525",
      "starters": [
        "Hernán Galíndez",
        "Denzel Dumfries",
        "Nuno Mendes",
        "Nico O'Reilly",
        "Raphinha",
        "Florian Wirtz",
        "Bruno Fernandes",
        "Marcel Sabitzer",
        "Erling Haaland",
        "Mikel Oyarzabal",
        "Harry Kane"
      ],
      "bench": [
        "James Rodríguez",
        "Willian Pacho",
        "Joel Ordóñez",
        "Maxime Crépeau"
      ],
      "twelfth_man": "",
      "transfers": []
    },
    {
      "round_id": "2",
      "label": "Matchday 2",
      "formation": "3-4-3",
      "booster_id": "twelfth_man",
      "booster_label": "12th Man",
      "captain": "Raphinha",
      "vice_captain": "Florian Wirtz",
      "captain_ladder": [
        "Raphinha",
        "Florian Wirtz",
        "Mikel Oyarzabal",
        "Bruno Fernandes",
        "Harry Kane"
      ],
      "prediction_points": "26.9766753004",
      "starters": [
        "Hernán Galíndez",
        "Nathaniel Brown",
        "Nuno Mendes",
        "Willian Pacho",
        "Raphinha",
        "Florian Wirtz",
        "Bruno Fernandes",
        "Ismael Saibari",
        "Erling Haaland",
        "Mikel Oyarzabal",
        "Harry Kane"
      ],
      "bench": [
        "Denzel Dumfries",
        "Nico O'Reilly",
        "Marcel Sabitzer",
        "Maxime Crépeau"
      ],
      "twelfth_man": "Kylian Mbappé",
      "transfers": [
        {
          "out": "Joel Ordóñez",
          "in": "Nathaniel Brown",
          "reason": "AI baseline used Nathaniel Brown as the cheap defender upgrade after MD1."
        },
        {
          "out": "James Rodríguez",
          "in": "Ismael Saibari",
          "reason": "AI baseline replaced James Rodriguez with Ismael Saibari for MD2."
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "round_id": "3",
      "label": "Matchday 3",
      "formation": "3-4-3",
      "booster_id": "wildcard",
      "booster_label": "Wildcard",
      "captain": "Sadio Mané",
      "vice_captain": "Ismael Saibari",
      "captain_ladder": [
        "Sadio Mané",
        "Ismael Saibari",
        "Kevin De Bruyne",
        "Memphis Depay",
        "Harry Kane"
      ],
      "prediction_points": "9.95383117787",
      "starters": [
        "Yahia Fofana",
        "Guéla Doué",
        "Noussair Mazraoui",
        "Denzel Dumfries",
        "Sadio Mané",
        "Ismael Saibari",
        "Kevin De Bruyne",
        "Brahim Díaz",
        "Memphis Depay",
        "Cody Gakpo",
        "Harry Kane"
      ],
      "bench": [
        "Vinícius Júnior",
        "Maxim De Cuyper",
        "El Hadji Malick Diouf",
        "Nikola Vasilj"
      ],
      "twelfth_man": "",
      "transfers": [
        {
          "out": "Hernán Galíndez",
          "in": "Yahia Fofana",
          "reason": "AI baseline used Wildcard in MD3 and rebuilt into Yahia Fofana for Côte d'Ivoire v Curaçao."
        },
        {
          "out": "Maxime Crépeau",
          "in": "Nikola Vasilj",
          "reason": "AI baseline used Wildcard in MD3 and moved the second goalkeeper slot to Nikola Vasilj."
        },
        {
          "out": "Nuno Mendes",
          "in": "Guéla Doué",
          "reason": "AI baseline used Wildcard in MD3 and targeted Guéla Doué for Côte d'Ivoire v Curaçao."
        },
        {
          "out": "Nico O'Reilly",
          "in": "Noussair Mazraoui",
          "reason": "AI baseline used Wildcard in MD3 and targeted Noussair Mazraoui for Morocco v Haiti."
        },
        {
          "out": "Willian Pacho",
          "in": "Maxim De Cuyper",
          "reason": "AI baseline used Wildcard in MD3 and added Maxim De Cuyper as a Belgium bench defender."
        },
        {
          "out": "Nathaniel Brown",
          "in": "El Hadji Malick Diouf",
          "reason": "AI baseline used Wildcard in MD3 and added El Hadji Malick Diouf as a Senegal bench defender."
        },
        {
          "out": "Raphinha",
          "in": "Sadio Mané",
          "reason": "AI baseline used Wildcard in MD3 and made Sadio Mané the first captaincy pick."
        },
        {
          "out": "Florian Wirtz",
          "in": "Kevin De Bruyne",
          "reason": "AI baseline used Wildcard in MD3 and added Kevin De Bruyne for Belgium v New Zealand."
        },
        {
          "out": "Bruno Fernandes",
          "in": "Brahim Díaz",
          "reason": "AI baseline used Wildcard in MD3 and added Brahim Díaz for Morocco v Haiti."
        },
        {
          "out": "Marcel Sabitzer",
          "in": "Vinícius Júnior",
          "reason": "AI baseline used Wildcard in MD3 and kept Vinícius Júnior as the first bench/rotation option."
        },
        {
          "out": "Erling Haaland",
          "in": "Memphis Depay",
          "reason": "AI baseline used Wildcard in MD3 and selected Memphis Depay for Netherlands v Tunisia."
        },
        {
          "out": "Mikel Oyarzabal",
          "in": "Cody Gakpo",
          "reason": "AI baseline used Wildcard in MD3 and selected Cody Gakpo for Netherlands v Tunisia."
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "round_id": "4",
      "label": "Round of 32",
      "formation": "3-4-3",
      "booster_id": "qualification_booster",
      "booster_label": "Qualification Booster",
      "captain": "Kylian Mbappé",
      "vice_captain": "Harry Kane",
      "captain_ladder": [
        "Kylian Mbappé",
        "Harry Kane",
        "Florian Wirtz",
        "Lionel Messi",
        "Raphinha"
      ],
      "prediction_points": "55.1094540796",
      "starters": [
        "Emiliano Martínez",
        "Theo Hernández",
        "Nicolás Otamendi",
        "John Stones",
        "Florian Wirtz",
        "Michael Olise",
        "Jude Bellingham",
        "Raphinha",
        "Kylian Mbappé",
        "Lionel Messi",
        "Harry Kane"
      ],
      "bench": [
        "Luis Díaz",
        "Antonio Rüdiger",
        "Johan Vásquez",
        "Jordan Pickford"
      ],
      "twelfth_man": "",
      "transfers": [
        {
          "out": "Yahia Fofana",
          "in": "Emiliano Martínez",
          "reason": "AI baseline used unlimited Round of 32 transfers and rebuilt into Emiliano Martinez for Argentina v Cabo Verde."
        },
        {
          "out": "Nikola Vasilj",
          "in": "Jordan Pickford",
          "reason": "AI baseline used unlimited Round of 32 transfers and moved the second goalkeeper slot to Jordan Pickford."
        },
        {
          "out": "Guéla Doué",
          "in": "Theo Hernández",
          "reason": "AI baseline used unlimited Round of 32 transfers and targeted Theo Hernandez for France v Sweden."
        },
        {
          "out": "Noussair Mazraoui",
          "in": "Nicolás Otamendi",
          "reason": "AI baseline used unlimited Round of 32 transfers and selected Nicolas Otamendi for Argentina v Cabo Verde."
        },
        {
          "out": "Denzel Dumfries",
          "in": "John Stones",
          "reason": "AI baseline used unlimited Round of 32 transfers and selected John Stones for England v DR Congo."
        },
        {
          "out": "Maxim De Cuyper",
          "in": "Antonio Rüdiger",
          "reason": "AI baseline used unlimited Round of 32 transfers and added Antonio Rudiger as a Germany bench defender."
        },
        {
          "out": "El Hadji Malick Diouf",
          "in": "Johan Vásquez",
          "reason": "AI baseline used unlimited Round of 32 transfers and added Johan Vasquez as a Mexico bench defender."
        },
        {
          "out": "Sadio Mané",
          "in": "Florian Wirtz",
          "reason": "AI baseline used unlimited Round of 32 transfers and returned to Florian Wirtz for Germany v Paraguay."
        },
        {
          "out": "Ismael Saibari",
          "in": "Michael Olise",
          "reason": "AI baseline used unlimited Round of 32 transfers and selected Michael Olise for France v Sweden."
        },
        {
          "out": "Kevin De Bruyne",
          "in": "Jude Bellingham",
          "reason": "AI baseline used unlimited Round of 32 transfers and selected Jude Bellingham for England v DR Congo."
        },
        {
          "out": "Brahim Díaz",
          "in": "Raphinha",
          "reason": "AI baseline used unlimited Round of 32 transfers and returned to Raphinha for Brazil v Japan."
        },
        {
          "out": "Vinícius Júnior",
          "in": "Luis Díaz",
          "reason": "AI baseline used unlimited Round of 32 transfers and added Luis Diaz as the first bench attacker."
        },
        {
          "out": "Memphis Depay",
          "in": "Kylian Mbappé",
          "reason": "AI baseline used unlimited Round of 32 transfers and made Kylian Mbappe the first captaincy pick."
        },
        {
          "out": "Cody Gakpo",
          "in": "Lionel Messi",
          "reason": "AI baseline used unlimited Round of 32 transfers and selected Lionel Messi for Argentina v Cabo Verde."
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "round_id": "5",
      "label": "Round of 16",
      "formation": "3-4-3",
      "booster_id": "no_booster",
      "booster_label": "No booster",
      "captain": "Kylian Mbappé",
      "vice_captain": "Vinícius Júnior",
      "captain_ladder": [
        "Kylian Mbappé",
        "Vinícius Júnior",
        "Harry Kane",
        "Lionel Messi",
        "Luis Díaz"
      ],
      "prediction_points": "43.2443934933",
      "starters": [
        "Yassine Bounou",
        "Achraf Hakimi",
        "Theo Hernández",
        "Nicolás Otamendi",
        "Michael Olise",
        "Ismael Saibari",
        "Vinícius Júnior",
        "Jude Bellingham",
        "Kylian Mbappé",
        "Lionel Messi",
        "Harry Kane"
      ],
      "bench": [
        "Luis Díaz",
        "John Stones",
        "Johan Vásquez",
        "Emiliano Martínez"
      ],
      "twelfth_man": "",
      "transfers": [
        {
          "out": "Antonio Rüdiger",
          "in": "Achraf Hakimi",
          "reason": "AI baseline used a free Round of 16 transfer to replace eliminated Antonio Rudiger with Achraf Hakimi."
        },
        {
          "out": "Florian Wirtz",
          "in": "Ismael Saibari",
          "reason": "AI baseline used a free Round of 16 transfer to replace eliminated Florian Wirtz with Ismael Saibari."
        },
        {
          "out": "Jordan Pickford",
          "in": "Yassine Bounou",
          "reason": "AI baseline used a free Round of 16 transfer to replace Jordan Pickford with Yassine Bounou."
        },
        {
          "out": "Raphinha",
          "in": "Vinícius Júnior",
          "reason": "AI baseline used a free Round of 16 transfer to replace Raphinha with Vinicius Junior."
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "round_id": "6",
      "label": "Quarter-final",
      "formation": "3-4-3",
      "booster_id": "clean_sheet_shield",
      "booster_label": "Clean Sheet Shield",
      "captain": "Kylian Mbappé",
      "vice_captain": "Lamine Yamal",
      "captain_ladder": [
        "Kylian Mbappé",
        "Lamine Yamal",
        "Harry Kane",
        "Lionel Messi",
        "Jude Bellingham"
      ],
      "prediction_points": "56.4262193056",
      "starters": [
        "Mike Maignan",
        "Theo Hernández",
        "Pedro Porro",
        "Nicolás Otamendi",
        "Michael Olise",
        "Lamine Yamal",
        "Jude Bellingham",
        "Pedri",
        "Kylian Mbappé",
        "Harry Kane",
        "Lionel Messi"
      ],
      "bench": [
        "John Stones",
        "Ismael Saibari",
        "Achraf Hakimi",
        "Emiliano Martínez"
      ],
      "twelfth_man": "",
      "transfers": [
        {
          "out": "Yassine Bounou",
          "in": "Mike Maignan",
          "reason": "AI baseline used a free Quarter-final transfer to replace Yassine Bounou with Mike Maignan for France v Morocco."
        },
        {
          "out": "Johan Vásquez",
          "in": "Pedro Porro",
          "reason": "AI baseline used a free Quarter-final transfer to replace eliminated Johan Vásquez with Pedro Porro for Spain v Belgium."
        },
        {
          "out": "Vinícius Júnior",
          "in": "Lamine Yamal",
          "reason": "AI baseline used a free Quarter-final transfer to replace eliminated Vinícius Júnior with Lamine Yamal."
        },
        {
          "out": "Luis Díaz",
          "in": "Pedri",
          "reason": "AI baseline used a free Quarter-final transfer to replace eliminated Luis Díaz with Pedri."
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "round_id": "7",
      "label": "Semi-final",
      "formation": "3-4-3",
      "booster_id": "no_booster",
      "booster_label": "No booster",
      "captain": "Kylian Mbappé",
      "vice_captain": "Jude Bellingham",
      "captain_ladder": [
        "Kylian Mbappé",
        "Jude Bellingham",
        "Harry Kane",
        "Lionel Messi"
      ],
      "prediction_points": "46.2965268996",
      "starters": [
        "Mike Maignan",
        "Theo Hernández",
        "Pedro Porro",
        "Nicolás Otamendi",
        "Michael Olise",
        "Dani Olmo",
        "Jude Bellingham",
        "Alexis Mac Allister",
        "Kylian Mbappé",
        "Harry Kane",
        "Lionel Messi"
      ],
      "bench": [
        "Anthony Gordon",
        "Nico O'Reilly",
        "Lisandro Martínez",
        "Emiliano Martínez"
      ],
      "twelfth_man": "",
      "transfers": [
        {
          "out": "Achraf Hakimi",
          "in": "Lisandro Martínez",
          "reason": "AI baseline replaced eliminated Achraf Hakimi with Lisandro Martínez for England v Argentina."
        },
        {
          "out": "Ismael Saibari",
          "in": "Anthony Gordon",
          "reason": "AI baseline replaced eliminated Ismael Saibari with Anthony Gordon for England v Argentina."
        },
        {
          "out": "Lamine Yamal",
          "in": "Dani Olmo",
          "reason": "AI baseline replaced Lamine Yamal with Dani Olmo as a cheaper rotation and squad-balancing choice."
        },
        {
          "out": "Pedri",
          "in": "Alexis Mac Allister",
          "reason": "AI baseline replaced Pedri with Alexis Mac Allister after Pedri was benched in the quarter-final."
        },
        {
          "out": "John Stones",
          "in": "Nico O'Reilly",
          "reason": "AI baseline replaced John Stones with Nico O'Reilly for additional attacking upside."
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "round_id": "8",
      "label": "Final",
      "formation": "3-4-3",
      "booster_id": "no_booster",
      "booster_label": "No booster",
      "captain": "Kylian Mbappé",
      "vice_captain": "Lionel Messi",
      "captain_ladder": [
        "Kylian Mbappé",
        "Lionel Messi",
        "Lamine Yamal"
      ],
      "prediction_points": "48.8810916308",
      "starters": [
        "Mike Maignan",
        "Theo Hernández",
        "Nico O'Reilly",
        "Pedro Porro",
        "Jude Bellingham",
        "Anthony Gordon",
        "Lamine Yamal",
        "Rodri",
        "Kylian Mbappé",
        "Harry Kane",
        "Lionel Messi"
      ],
      "bench": [
        "Rodrigo De Paul",
        "Marc Cucurella",
        "Pau Cubarsí",
        "Unai Simón"
      ],
      "twelfth_man": "",
      "transfers": [
        {
          "out": "Emiliano Martínez",
          "in": "Unai Simón",
          "reason": "AI baseline replaced Emiliano Martínez with Unai Simón for additional Spain defensive exposure."
        },
        {
          "out": "Nicolás Otamendi",
          "in": "Marc Cucurella",
          "reason": "AI baseline replaced Nicolás Otamendi with Marc Cucurella for Spain clean-sheet and attacking upside."
        },
        {
          "out": "Lisandro Martínez",
          "in": "Pau Cubarsí",
          "reason": "AI baseline replaced Lisandro Martínez with Pau Cubarsí as a value route into Spain's defence."
        },
        {
          "out": "Michael Olise",
          "in": "Lamine Yamal",
          "reason": "AI baseline replaced Michael Olise with Lamine Yamal for higher final-match upside."
        },
        {
          "out": "Dani Olmo",
          "in": "Rodri",
          "reason": "AI baseline replaced Dani Olmo with Rodri for expected minutes, defensive points and floor."
        },
        {
          "out": "Alexis Mac Allister",
          "in": "Rodrigo De Paul",
          "reason": "AI baseline replaced Alexis Mac Allister with Rodrigo De Paul for cheaper Argentina exposure and differential potential."
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "row_counts": {
    "summary_rows": 30,
    "choice_rows": 121
  }
}
